Incidence of herpes simplex virus type 2 positivity among women living with human immunodeficiency virus in South Africa.

BACKGROUND: For women living with HIV (WLHIV), co-infection with herpes simplex virus type 2 (HSV-2) causes severe genital ulcers and presents additional challenges for their HIV care. To inform preventive strategies, we aimed to determine the incidence and risk factors of HSV-2 positivity in a prospective cohort of South African women. METHODS: The CAPRISA 002 study enrolled women at acute HIV infection between 2004 and 2020. HSV-2 testing was conducted by multiplex polymerase chain reaction (PCR) assay on collected vaginal swabs up to twice annually during follow-up. We calculated incidence as the number of new cases per 100 person-years (PYs) and used Cox-proportional-hazard regression to identify factors associated with time-to-HSV-2 PCR positivity. RESULTS: At enrolment, the median age of 171 women was 24 years, interquartile range (IQR 21-28), and the estimated median days since HIV infection was 42 (IQR 22-65). Of participants tested at enrolment, HSV-2 antibody prevalence was 81.4% (105/129), and 10.6% (12/113) were positive by PCR. Among 147 women with a prior negative HSV-2 PCR diagnosis, we observed 47 new HSV-2 PCR positive cases over 424.4 PYs of follow-up, yielding an incidence rate of 11.1 cases per-100-PYs. HSV-2 PCR positivity incidence was higher among younger women (<25 years: adjusted Hazard Ratio [aHR] = 5.91, 95%CI 3.02-11.6), those with bacterial vaginosis (BV) (Nugent score 7-10: aHR = 2.17, 95%CI 1.15-4.10) and lower CD4 counts (<500 cells/µl: aHR = 2.04, 95%CI 1.08-3.87). CONCLUSION: After acute HIV infection in women, the incidence of HSV-2 PCR positivity was associated with younger age, BV diagnosis and lower CD4 count.

Clinical outcomes with second-line dolutegravir in people with virological failure on first-line non-nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitor-based regimens in South Africa: a retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Dolutegravir (DTG) is recommended for second-line antiretroviral therapy (ART) after virological failure on first-line non-nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitor (NNRTI)-based regimens in people living with HIV in low-income and middle-income countries. We compared the effectiveness of DTG versus the previously recommended ritonavir-boosted lopinavir (LPV/r) regimen for second-line treatment in South Africa. METHODS: In this retrospective observational cohort study, we used routinely collected, de-identified data from 59 primary health-care facilities in eThekwini Municipality, KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa. We included people living with HIV aged 15 years or older with virological failure (defined as two consecutive viral loads of ≥1000 copies per mL at least 56 days apart) on first-line NNRTI-based ART containing tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF) and who switched to second-line ART. Our primary outcomes were retention in care and viral suppression (<50 copies per mL) at 12 months after starting second-line treatment. We used modified Poisson regression models to compare these outcomes between second-line regimens (zidovudine [AZT]/emtricitabine or lamivudine [XTC]/DTG; TDF/XTC/DTG; and AZT/XTC/LPV/r). FINDINGS: We included 1214 participants in our study, of whom 729 (60%) were female and 485 (40%) were male, and whose median age was 36 years (IQR 30-42). 689 (57%) were switched to AZT/XTC/LPV/r, 217 (18%) to AZT/XTC/DTG, and 308 (25%) to TDF/XTC/DTG. Compared with AZT/XTC/LPV/r (75%), retention in care was higher with AZT/XTC/DTG (86%, adjusted risk ratio [aRR]=1·14, 95% CI 1·03-1·27; adjusted risk difference [aRD]=10·89%, 95% CI 2·01 to 19·78) but similar with TDF/XTC/DTG (77%, aRR=1·01, 0·94-1·10; aRD=1·04%, -5·03 to 7·12). Observed retention in care was lower with TDF/XTC/DTG than with AZT/XTC/DTG, although in multivariable analysis evidence for a difference was weak (aRR=0·89, 0·78-1·01, p=0·060; aRD=-9·85%, -20·33 to 0·63, p=0·066). Of 799 participants who were retained in care with a 12-month viral load test done, viral suppression was higher with AZT/XTC/DTG (59%; aRR=1·25, 1·06-1·47; aRD=11·57%, 2·37 to 20·76) and higher with TDF/XTC/DTG (61%; aRR=1·30, 1·14-1·48; aRD=14·16%, 7·14 to 21·18) than with AZT/XTC/LPV/r (47%). INTERPRETATION: These findings from routine care support further implementation of WHO's recommendation to use DTG instead of LPV/r in people living with HIV who experience virological failure while receiving first-line NNRTI-based ART. FUNDING: Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation. TRANSLATION: For the isiZulu translation of the abstract see Supplementary Materials section.

Clinical Outcomes After Viremia Among People Receiving Dolutegravir vs Efavirenz-Based First-line Antiretroviral Therapy in South Africa.

Background: We aimed to compare clinical outcomes after viremia between dolutegravir vs efavirenz-based first-line antiretroviral therapy (ART) as evidence is lacking outside clinical trials in resource-limited settings. Methods: We conducted a retrospective cohort analysis with routine data from 59 South African clinics. We included people with HIV aged ≥15 years receiving first-line tenofovir disoproxil fumarate, lamivudine, dolutegravir (TLD) or tenofovir disoproxil fumarate, emtricitabine, efavirenz (TEE) and with first viremia (≥50 copies/mL) between June and November 2020. We used multivariable modified Poisson regression models to compare retention in care and viral suppression (<50 copies/mL) after 12 months between participants on TLD vs TEE. Results: At first viremia, among 9657 participants, 6457 (66.9%) were female, and the median age (interquartile range [IQR]) was 37 (31-44) years; 7598 (78.7%) were receiving TEE and 2059 (21.3%) TLD. Retention in care was slightly higher in the TLD group (84.9%) than TEE (80.8%; adjusted risk ratio [aRR], 1.03; 95% CI, 1.00-1.06). Of 6569 participants retained in care with a 12-month viral load, viral suppression was similar between the TLD (78.9%) and TEE (78.8%) groups (aRR, 1.02; 95% CI, 0.98-1.05). However, 3368 participants changed ART during follow-up: the majority from TEE to first-line TLD (89.1%) or second-line (TLD 3.4%, zidovudine/emtricitabine/lopinavir-ritonavir 2.1%). In a sensitivity analysis among the remaining 3980 participants who did not change ART during follow-up and had a 12-month viral load, viral suppression was higher in the TLD (78.9%) than TEE (74.9%) group (aRR, 1.07; 95% CI, 1.03-1.12). Conclusions: Among people with viremia on first-line ART, dolutegravir was associated with slightly better retention in care and similar or better viral suppression than efavirenz.

Clinical outcomes after the introduction of dolutegravir for second-line antiretroviral therapy in South Africa: a retrospective cohort study.

Background: Dolutegravir is now recommended for second-line anti-retroviral therapy (ART) in low- and middle-income countries. We compared outcomes with dolutegravir (DTG) versus the previous lopinavir/ritonavir (LPV/r) regimen in South Africa. Methods: We used routinely collected, de-identified data from 59 South African clinics. We included people living with HIV aged ≥ 15 years with virologic failure (two consecutive viral loads ≥1000 copies/mL) on first-line tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF)-based ART and switched to second-line ART. We used modified Poisson regression models to compare outcomes of 12-month retention-in-care and viral suppression (<50 copies/ml) after switching to second-line regimens of zidovudine (AZT), emtricitabine/lamivudine (XTC), DTG and TDF/XTC/DTG and AZT/XTC/LPV/r. Findings: Of 1214 participants, 729 (60.0%) were female, median age was 36 years (interquartile range 30 to 42), 689 (56.8%) were switched to AZT/XTC/LPV/r, 217 (17.9%) to AZT/XTC/DTG and 308 (25.4%) to TDF/XTC/DTG. Retention-in-care was higher with AZT/XTC/DTG (85.7%, adjusted risk ratio (aRR) 1.14, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.03 to 1.27; adjusted risk difference (aRD) 10.89%, 95%CI 2.01 to 19.78) but not different with TDF/XTC/DTG (76.9%, aRR 1.01, 95%CI 0.94 to 1.10; aRD 1.04%, 95%CI -5.03 to 7.12) compared to AZT/XTC/LPV/r (75.2%). Retention-in-care with TDF/XTC/DTG was not statistically significantly different from AZT/XTC/DTG (aRR 0.89, 95%CI 0.78 to 1.01; aRD -9.85%, 95%CI -20.33 to 0.63). Of 799 participants who were retained-in-care with a 12-month viral load, viral suppression was higher with AZT/XTC/DTG (59.3%, aRR 1.25, 95%CI 1.06 to 1.47; aRD 11.57%, 95%CI 2.37 to 20.76) and TDF/XTC/DTG (60.7%, aRR 1.30, 95%CI 1.14 to 1.48; aRD 14.16%, 95%CI 7.14 to 21.18) than with the AZT/XTC/LPV/r regimen (46.7%). Interpretation: DTG-based second-line regimens were associated with similar or better retention-in-care and better viral suppression than the LPV/r-based regimen. TDF/XTC/DTG had similar viral suppression compared to AZT/XTC/DTG. Funding: Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, Africa Oxford Initiative.

Incidence, recurrence, and prevalence of bacterial vaginosis from acute to chronic HIV infection in a prospective cohort of women in South Africa.

PURPOSE: We investigated the incidence, recurrence, prevalence, and risk factors for bacterial vaginosis (BV) diagnosis starting from acute HIV infection among South African women. METHODS: The Centre for the AIDS Programme of Research in South Africa 002 study tested and treated women for BV (Nugent score 7-10) once/twice annually from acute to chronic HIV infection (2004-2020). We estimated BV incidence as the number of new cases and recurrence as the number of subsequent diagnoses per 100 person-years (PYs). We fitted Anderson-Gil Cox-proportional-hazard regression models to determine factors associated with BV incidence or recurrence. RESULTS: Of 235 participants, the median age at enrollment was 25 years (Inter Quartile Range [IQR] 22-29). BV prevalence at enrollment was 50.6%. BV incidence was 23.9 cases per 100 PYs, and recurrence was 51.3 cases per 100 PYs. BV incidence/recurrence was associated with younger age (<25 years: adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 1.70, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.27-2.27), detectable HIV viral load (aHR 1.54, 95% CI 1.27-1.87) and lower CD4 count (<350 cells/µL: aHR 1.33, 95% CI 1.01-1.76). CONCLUSIONS: Our findings underscore the need for early antiretroviral treatment initiation with diagnostic BV and sexually transmitted infection care, especially among younger women.

Impact of Point-of-Care Testing on the Management of Sexually Transmitted Infections in South Africa: Evidence from the HVTN702 Human Immunodeficiency Virus Vaccine Trial.

BACKGROUND: Alternative approaches to syndromic management are needed to reduce rates of sexually transmitted infections (STIs) in resource-limited settings. We investigated the impact of point-of-care (POC) versus central laboratory-based testing on STI treatment initiation and STI adverse event (STI-AE) reporting. METHODS: We used Kaplan-Meier and Cox regression models to compare times to treatment initiation and STI-AE reporting among HVTN702 trial participants in South Africa. Neisseria gonorrhoeae (NG) and Chlamydia trachomatis (CT) were diagnosed POC at eThekwini clinic and in a central laboratory at Verulam/Isipingo clinics. All clinics used POC assays for Trichomonas vaginalis (TV) testing. RESULTS: Among 959 women (median age, 23 [interquartile range, 21-26] years), median days (95% confidence interval [95%CI]) to NG/CT treatment initiation and NG/CT-AE reporting were 0.20 (.16-.25) and 0.24 (.19-.27) at eThekwini versus 14.22 (14.12-15.09) and 15.12 (13.22-21.24) at Verulam/Isipingo (all P < .001). Median days (95%CI) to TV treatment initiation and TV-AE reporting were 0.17 (.12-.27) and 0.25 (.20-.99) at eThekwini versus 0.18 (.15-.2) and 0.24 (.15-.99) at Verulam/Isipingo (all P > .05). Cox regression analysis revealed that NG/CT treatment initiation (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 39.62 [95%CI, 15.13-103.74]) and NG/CT-AE reporting (aHR, 3.38 [95%CI, 2.23-5.13]) occurred faster at eThekwini versus Verulam/Isipingo, while times to TV treatment initiation (aHR, 0.93 [95%CI, .59-1.48]) and TV-AE reporting (aHR, 1.38 [95%CI, .86-2.21]) were similar. CONCLUSIONS: POC testing led to prompt STI management with potential therapeutic and prevention benefits, highlighting its utility as a diagnostic tool in resource-limited settings.

Relationship between physical activity and behaviour challenges of adolescents in South Africa.

Background: Four out of five adolescents worldwide are physically inactive based on recommended standards. Aim: We determined whether physical activity is associated with lower behavioural challenges in adolescents to promote buy-in from stakeholders. Setting: KwaZulu-Natal province, South Africa, from January 2020 to March 2020. Methods: A cross-sectional study was conducted among 187 adolescent learners (12-18 years) from three government schools in KwaZulu-Natal Province, South Africa, from January to March 2020. We fitted linear regression models between the Strengths and Difficulties Questionnaire scores (total, internalising, externalising, and prosocial) and hours of physical activity exposure, adjusting for demographic covariates, and depression history. Results: The median age was 14.4 years (interquartile range = 1.36) and 75.9% of the participants were females. Overall average and weekday physical activity were each associated with lower total and externalising but higher pro-social scores. Depression was associated with higher inactivity scores (total, internalising and externalising). Conclusions: The article shows that physical activity can reduce the behavioural and emotional problems in adolescents. Contribution: Physical activity is critical for a healthy adolescent hood and needs to be actively included in childhood development.

Burden of sexually transmitted infections from acute HIV infection among women in South Africa: Evidence from a prospective cohort study.

PURPOSE: HIV and other sexually transmitted infections (STIs) often co-occur. However, less evidence exists on the long-term STI dynamics among persons living with HIV in sub-Saharan Africa to inform interventions. We investigated the incidence, prevalence and factors associated with STIs, starting from acute HIV infection in a cohort of South African women. METHODS: The CAPRISA002 study enrolled women with acute HIV infection and performed STI testing and treatment 1-2 times annually from 2004-2020. We estimated STI incidence, re-infection, and prevalence trends before and after antiretroviral treatment (ART). We fitted Cox regression models to identify factors associated with STIs. RESULTS: We followed up 235 women (median age = 25 years, IQR 22-29) for 7.5 years (IQR 5.7-10.8). New STI and re-infection cases per 100 person-years (PYs) were 5.1 and 9.5 for Neisseria gonorrhoeae (NG), 7.4 and 14.7 for Chlamydia trachomatis (CT), 8.0 and 26.6 for Trichomonas vaginalis (TV), 7.7 and 16.7 for Mycoplasma genitalium (MG) and 25.2 and 37.3 for any STI. STI incidence, was associated with HIV log10 viral load (AHR = 1.24, 95% CI 1.06-1.44), active syphilis (AHR = 16.55, 95% CI 7.49-36.55), a positive HSV-2 PCR (AHR = 1.54, 95% CI 1.01-2.35), bacterial vaginosis (AHR = 1.48, 95% CI 1.01-2.18), recent regular sexual partners at enrolment (one vs none: AHR = 2.62, 95% CI 1.41-4.87; two plus vs none: AHR = 3.68, 95% CI 1.79-7.59) and age (5-year fold: AHR = 0.80, 95% CI 0.70-0.92). CONCLUSION: The persistent STI/HIV co-infection burden among South African women highlights that early HIV diagnosis and ART initiation needs to be combined with better STI care for women and their partners to prevent HIV and STI transmission.

Sexual behaviours and their associated factors among young people in the Dodowa Health and Demographic Surveillance Site (DHDSS) in Ghana.

Objective: This paper describes sexual behaviours and their associated factors among young people. Design: The study design is cross-sectional. Setting: Dodowa Health and Demographic Surveillance Site (DHDSS) in Ghana's Shai-Osudoku and Ningo Prampram districts. Participants: Young people aged 10 to 24 years, median age 17 years. Outcome measures: Self-reported to have ever had sex, non-use of a condom at last sex, and ever been pregnant or gotten someone pregnant. Results: Of the 1689 young people; 42% reported having ever had sex, not using a condom at last sexual activity (64%), and ever been pregnant or gotten someone pregnant (41%). The proportion of non-use of condoms at last sex was high across all age groups but was highest (93%) in a small proportion of 10 to 14-year-olds who have ever had sex. Higher proportions of females than males; were reported to have ever had sex (46%), not using a condom at their last sex (66%) and ever been pregnant or getting someone pregnant (56%). Age group (20 to 24), females, primary or junior high school, living alone and lower household socio-economic status were risk factors associated with all three outcome measures. Conclusion: Risky sexual behaviour is high among young people in the Dodowa HDSS. Therefore, interventions that promote safer sexual practices and help young people make timely decisions on their sexual and reproductive health care needs are required. Funding: No funding was obtained for this paper.

Sexual behaviours and their associated factors among young people in the Dodowa Health and Demographic Surveillance Site (DHDSS) in Ghana

Objective: This paper describes sexual behaviours and their associated factors among young people. Design: The study design is cross-sectional. Setting: Dodowa Health and Demographic Surveillance Site (DHDSS) in Ghana's Shai-Osudoku and Ningo Prampram districts. Participants: Young people aged 10 to 24 years, median age 17 years. Outcome measures: Self-reported to have ever had sex, non-use of a condom at last sex, and ever been pregnant or gotten someone pregnant. Results: Of the 1689 young people; 42% reported having ever had sex, not using a condom at last sexual activity (64%), and ever been pregnant or gotten someone pregnant (41%). The proportion of non-use of condoms at last sex was high across all age groups but was highest (93%) in a small proportion of 10 to 14-year-olds who have ever had sex. Higher proportions of females than males; were reported to have ever had sex (46%), not using a condom at their last sex (66%) and ever been pregnant or getting someone pregnant (56%). Age group (20 to 24), females, primary or junior high school, living alone and lower household socio-economic status were risk factors associated with all three outcome measures. Conclusion: Risky sexual behaviour is high among young people in the Dodowa HDSS. Therefore, interventions that promote safer sexual practices and help young people make timely decisions on their sexual and reproductive health care needs are required.

Extreme value modelling of Ghana stock exchange index.

Modelling of extreme events has always been of interest in fields such as hydrology and meteorology. However, after the recent global financial crises, appropriate models for modelling of such rare events leading to these crises have become quite essential in the finance and risk management fields. This paper models the extreme values of the Ghana stock exchange all-shares index (2000-2010) by applying the extreme value theory (EVT) to fit a model to the tails of the daily stock returns data. A conditional approach of the EVT was preferred and hence an ARMA-GARCH model was fitted to the data to correct for the effects of autocorrelation and conditional heteroscedastic terms present in the returns series, before the EVT method was applied. The Peak Over Threshold approach of the EVT, which fits a Generalized Pareto Distribution (GPD) model to excesses above a certain selected threshold, was employed. Maximum likelihood estimates of the model parameters were obtained and the model's goodness of fit was assessed graphically using Q-Q, P-P and density plots. The findings indicate that the GPD provides an adequate fit to the data of excesses. The size of the extreme daily Ghanaian stock market movements were then computed using the value at risk and expected shortfall risk measures at some high quantiles, based on the fitted GPD model.